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MISU Guest seminar | Assaf Hochman

Atmospheric Predictability of Eastern Mediterranean Synoptic Systems

by Assaf Hochman, Inst. für Meteorologie & Klimaforschung, Karlsruhe Inst. of Techn.

Time: 10 October 2019, 14h15–15h15
Venue: Rossbysalen C609, Arrhenius laboratory, Svante Arrhenius väg 16C, 6th floor

Abstract
The Mediterranean has been recognized as a ‘hot spot’, currently influenced by climate change, and predicted to be strongly affected in the future by significant warming and drying. This trend is expected to be expressed as changes in the occurrence and intensity of Mediterranean cyclones, in general, and of east Mediterranean, i.e., Cyprus Lows, in particular, as well as in the dynamics of all synoptic systems dominating the region.
Four closely related studies on eastern Mediterranean synoptic systems will be discussed:
1) an investigation of future changes in the occurrence of eastern Mediterranean synoptic systems, with an emphasis on Cyprus Lows;
2) 21st century projections of seasons' length, defined according to the prevailing synoptic systems;
3) A new dynamical systems perspective on atmospheric predictability applied to eastern Mediterranean synoptic systems as a case study;
4) 21st century projections of Cyprus Low dynamics.

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